Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UIC -198 DRKE +164 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +21 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -4.7 (+16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-24.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -3.9 (+17.1) | 143.4 (-20.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -4.8 (+16.2) | 142.3 (-19.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -4.8 (+16.2) | 143.4 (-20.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -4.3 (+16.7) | 143.2 (-20.2) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | UIC 80 – 70 DRKE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UIC 74 – 67 DRKE |
| Feb 20, 2025 | DRKE 74 – 57 UIC |
| Jan 1, 2025 | UIC 74 – 70 DRKE |
| Feb 29, 2024 | DRKE 107 – 105 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-5 | 6-11 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#108) | -0.4 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#151) | -0.54 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#132) | -0.49 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#130) | 0.470 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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