Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH +170 TCU -205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +3 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -6.4 (+9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (+3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -6.2 (+9.2) | 150.7 (+10.3) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -5.9 (+8.9) | 148.7 (+12.3) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -6.0 (+9.0) | 149.5 (+11.5) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -7.5 (+10.5) | 152.0 (+9.0) | 26% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2025 | UTAH 73 – 65 TCU |
| Dec 22, 2022 | TCU 75 – 71 UTAH |
| Dec 9, 2021 | TCU 76 – 62 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-9 | 14-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#127) | 12.8 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#119) | 1.90 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#139) | 3.28 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#141) | 0.535 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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