Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | TCU -185 UTAH +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +8 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | TCU -3.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -2.8 (-10.8) | 140.2 (-2.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -3.0 (-11.0) | 138.8 (-0.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -3.9 (-11.9) | 139.7 (-1.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -4.3 (-12.3) | 140.3 (-2.3) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | UTAH 82 – 79 TCU |
| Dec 22, 2022 | TCU 75 – 71 UTAH |
| Dec 9, 2021 | TCU 76 – 62 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-3 | 15-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#62) | 9.0 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#87) | 0.72 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#87) | 1.20 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#88) | 0.499 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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