Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +14 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -4.7 (+18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -1.6 (+15.6) | 134.1 (+3.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -0.8 (+14.8) | 133.9 (+4.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -0.9 (+14.9) | 134.4 (+3.6) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -1.0 (+15.0) | 134.3 (+3.7) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | UTAH 82 – 79 TCU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | UTAH 73 – 65 TCU |
| Dec 22, 2022 | TCU 75 – 71 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-16 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-9 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#111) | 8.3 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#102) | 1.57 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#125) | 2.16 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#83) | 0.605 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 41.4 |
| OREB / G | 16.4 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 41.8% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 44.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.5% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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