Hallelujah, here she comes. "Skateaway" - Dire Straits
Delta Center · December 22, 2022
Betting Lines
O/U 141.0 Over
Money UTAH -125 / TCU +105
Model Predictions
Spread Total UTAH win
Actual TCU +4 146 Lost
Massey UTAH -10.4 (-14.4) — —
Massey Totals — 134.1 (+11.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 74% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 50% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UTAH -7.7 (-11.7) 143.7 (+2.3) 65% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UTAH -6.1 (-10.1) 143.8 (+2.2) 59% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML UTAH -8.6 (-12.6) 140.0 (+6.0) 74% ✗
Baseline ML UTAH -8.8 (-12.8) 142.0 (+4.0) 72% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 17, 2026 UTAH 82 – 79 TCU
Jan 16, 2025 UTAH 73 – 65 TCU
Dec 9, 2021 TCU 76 – 62 UTAH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UTAH TCU
Overall 17-15 22-13
Conference 10-10 9-9
Home 12-6 13-4
Away 4-7 4-7
Neutral 1-2 5-2
Last 5 4-1 5-0
Streak L6 L1
Avg Pts For 68.7 75.3
Avg Pts Against 63.8 68.4
Massey 12.0 (#27) 6.4 (#77)
Bradley-Terry 1.58 (#62) 1.39 (#74)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.95 (#69) 2.95 (#27)
RPI 0.555 (#84) 0.488 (#200)
Shooting & Four Factors UTAH TCU
FG% 46.3% 45.2%
3PT% 37.8% 30.6%
REB / G 43.6 39.8
OREB / G 11.5 13.1
AST / TO 1.17 1.41
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.5% 50.0%
TOV% 18.8% 16.7%
ORB% 32.7% 35.9%
FT Rate 22.3% 26.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 39.8% 43.4%
Opp TOV% 15.9% 23.7%
DRB% 73.2% 71.4%
Opp FT Rate 17.6% 18.1%

Game Analysis

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