Betting Lines
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | UTAH -125 TCU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +4 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | UTAH -10.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (+11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -6.1 (-10.1) | 143.8 (+2.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -8.6 (-12.6) | 140.0 (+6.0) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -8.8 (-12.8) | 142.0 (+4.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -7.7 (-11.7) | 143.7 (+2.3) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | UTAH 82 – 79 TCU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | UTAH 73 – 65 TCU |
| Dec 9, 2021 | TCU 76 – 62 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-6 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#27) | 6.4 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#62) | 1.39 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#69) | 2.95 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#84) | 0.488 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 43.6 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.8% | 43.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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