Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | NCSU -2400 GT +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +4 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | NCSU -19.8 (-23.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -16.9 (-20.9) | 152.0 (+0.0) | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -14.3 (-18.3) | 154.0 (-2.0) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -18.9 (-22.9) | 153.2 (-1.2) | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -18.2 (-22.2) | 151.8 (+0.2) | 90% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2025 | GT 87 – 62 NCSU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | NCSU 82 – 76 GT |
| Feb 4, 2023 | NCSU 72 – 64 GT |
| Jan 18, 2023 | NCSU 78 – 66 GT |
| Feb 16, 2022 | NCSU 76 – 61 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 2-16 |
| Home | 11-6 | 10-9 |
| Away | 6-4 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 18.0 (#21) | 1.6 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#50) | -0.20 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.91 (#47) | -0.37 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#53) | 0.489 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 40.1% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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