Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +15 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | GT -1.4 (-16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -2.0 (-17.0) | 143.8 (-6.8) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GT -2.3 (-17.3) | 142.0 (-5.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -0.7 (-15.7) | 145.4 (-8.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GT -1.4 (-16.4) | 144.3 (-7.3) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | GT 78 – 74 NCSU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | GT 87 – 62 NCSU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | NCSU 82 – 76 GT |
| Feb 4, 2023 | NCSU 72 – 64 GT |
| Jan 18, 2023 | NCSU 78 – 66 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 4-16 |
| Home | 9-10 | 7-10 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#153) | 2.3 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#169) | -0.09 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#150) | 0.18 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#225) | 0.484 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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