Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | ORE +1300 MICH -2800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +10 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -21.9 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -10.6 (+0.6) | 153.6 (-1.6) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -12.6 (+2.6) | 150.9 (+1.1) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -15.8 (+5.8) | 153.5 (-1.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -17.8 (+7.8) | 153.2 (-1.2) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2025 | MICH 80 – 76 ORE |
| Dec 2, 2023 | ORE 86 – 83 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 37-3 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 19-1 |
| Home | 10-7 | 14-1 |
| Away | 2-8 | 11-0 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 12-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W6 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 87.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#99) | 31.1 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#107) | 4.38 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#104) | 6.31 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#109) | 0.700 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 51.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 43.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 59.4% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 42.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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