Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | ORE -154 MICH +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +3 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -6.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.1 (+8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -5.2 (-2.2) | 152.2 (+16.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -6.9 (-3.9) | 152.3 (+16.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -6.3 (-3.3) | 154.2 (+14.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -7.0 (-4.0) | 155.3 (+13.7) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | MICH 81 – 71 ORE |
| Feb 5, 2025 | MICH 80 – 76 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 3-17 |
| Home | 13-3 | 5-10 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 79.0 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#68) | 6.1 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#110) | 0.41 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#106) | 0.81 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#109) | 0.554 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 57.1% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.