Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | MICH -360 ORE +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +4 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -8.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -7.3 (-3.3) | 151.1 (+4.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -6.9 (-2.9) | 150.8 (+5.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -7.0 (-3.0) | 150.1 (+5.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -6.8 (-2.8) | 149.6 (+6.4) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | MICH 81 – 71 ORE |
| Dec 2, 2023 | ORE 86 – 83 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-3 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 7-4 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 18.4 (#15) | 12.9 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.80 (#22) | 2.82 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.96 (#13) | 3.28 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.643 (#9) | 0.627 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.8% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.0% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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