Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | WVU -285 COLO +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +11 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -4.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -5.4 (+5.6) | 139.4 (-6.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -3.7 (+7.3) | 141.3 (-8.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -3.7 (+7.3) | 142.8 (-9.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -4.6 (+6.4) | 142.8 (-9.8) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2025 | COLO 67 – 60 WVU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | WVU 78 – 70 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-3 | 13-5 |
| Away | 3-6 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 80.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#69) | 7.8 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#84) | 1.54 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#72) | 2.16 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#137) | 0.557 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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