But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
Big 12 Conference · CU Events Center · January 12, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread COLO -2.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Money COLO -150 / WVU +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total COLO win
Actual WVU +8 148 Lost
Massey WVU -3.5 (-4.5)
Massey Totals 135.5 (+12.5)
Bradley-Terry 47%
Weighted B-T 51%
Efficiency Plus ML WVU -0.2 (-7.8) 138.7 (+9.3) 51%
Baseline Tuned ML WVU -1.9 (-6.1) 134.9 (+13.1) 41%
Baseline ML WVU -1.8 (-6.2) 133.7 (+14.3) 47%
Baseline Plus ML WVU -1.9 (-6.1) 137.5 (+10.5) 46%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 17, 2026 WVU 7261 COLO
Mar 12, 2025 COLO 6760 WVU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COLO WVU
Overall 14-21 19-13
Conference 3-17 10-10
Home 11-7 13-4
Away 0-10 4-7
Neutral 3-4 2-2
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 69.7 68.2
Avg Pts Against 71.9 64.8
Massey 6.3 (#84) 13.8 (#34)
Bradley-Terry 1.98 (#54) 2.81 (#24)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.36 (#57) 3.13 (#39)
RPI 0.541 (#94) 0.604 (#37)
Shooting & Four Factors COLO WVU
FG% 46.6% 43.5%
3PT% 35.5% 34.7%
REB / G 36.4 36.6
OREB / G 9.6 9.9
AST / TO 1.12 1.27
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.3% 51.8%
TOV% 21.3% 16.6%
ORB% 29.7% 28.0%
FT Rate 27.7% 21.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.4% 43.2%
Opp TOV% 17.2% 20.0%
DRB% 73.2% 69.8%
Opp FT Rate 20.4% 22.6%

Game Analysis

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