Anger is an energy. "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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90–37 on winners spread MAE 8.5 127 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Carolina Upstate @ Gardner-Webb -11.4 146.7 15% 65–67 ✗
High Point @ Radford -12.1 159.8 16% 93–83 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Longwood -0.1 153.8 55% 79–81 ✗
Massachusetts @ Buffalo +3.2 154.8 69% 68–67 ✗
Chicago State @ Saint Francis -0.4 139.5 48% 60–81 ✗
Long Island University @ Stonehill -5.0 134.5 29% 66–63 ✓
Wagner @ Le Moyne +5.9 142.1 70% 67–69 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Central Connecticut +9.0 137.0 79% 76–66 ✗
The Citadel @ East Tennessee State +16.0 139.4 89% 55–84 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Jacksonville State -4.4 134.7 25% 58–75 ✗
Tulane @ Charlotte +4.4 142.3 66% 70–73 ✓
Ohio State @ Michigan +17.2 157.6 89% 62–74 ✓
Marquette @ Butler +12.3 157.9 85% 76–87 ✓
Akron @ Ohio -10.4 163.4 20% 86–65 ✓
Western Illinois @ Southern Indiana +4.5 133.4 66% 64–96 ✓
Utah State @ Colorado State -4.5 144.6 32% 65–61 ✓
Mercer @ Wofford -2.6 157.5 39% 77–80 ✗
Ole Miss @ Kentucky +12.7 144.7 86% 63–72 ✓
Bellarmine @ North Florida -1.8 155.3 49% 114–117 ✗
Wake Forest @ Duke +19.9 150.0 89% 69–90 ✓
Nebraska @ Minnesota -7.3 135.4 23% 76–57 ✓
Maryland @ Michigan State +18.7 137.2 91% 48–91 ✓
North Carolina @ Virginia +8.6 146.2 80% 85–80 ✗
Vanderbilt @ Mississippi State -8.7 158.5 21% 88–56 ✓
Clemson @ Georgia Tech -7.7 138.0 22% 77–63 ✓
American University @ Holy Cross -2.9 136.3 38% 76–67 ✓
NC State @ Pittsburgh -8.1 147.1 24% 81–72 ✓
Brown @ Princeton +4.9 136.0 64% 53–63 ✓
Niagara @ Sacred Heart +8.5 134.6 78% 70–71 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Hampton -4.2 133.1 34% 75–67 ✓
Elon @ Charleston +2.7 155.7 66% 70–80 ✓
Towson @ North Carolina A&T -4.2 132.3 32% 73–80 ✗
Monmouth @ Campbell +2.4 143.5 62% 88–73 ✗
Hofstra @ William & Mary +1.9 150.3 58% 82–89 ✓
Villanova @ UConn +10.0 137.1 80% 67–75 ✓
Georgetown @ Providence +5.4 157.3 73% 81–78 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Morehead State +2.6 133.0 62% 68–73 ✓
Georgia @ Texas -1.4 167.0 42% 67–87 ✗
Drake @ Indiana State +0.6 150.1 56% 76–62 ✗
Illinois State @ Belmont +5.0 144.1 72% 69–80 ✓
Temple @ UTSA -11.4 137.4 15% 70–64 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Wright State +5.0 150.2 70% 80–88 ✓
Milwaukee @ Youngstown State +4.0 147.7 66% 65–64 ✗
Green Bay @ Robert Morris +4.5 145.0 72% 71–67 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Marist +3.8 136.7 65% 64–71 ✓
Vermont @ Bryant -6.5 132.0 27% 62–52 ✓
UMass Lowell @ UMBC +5.2 144.5 70% 56–79 ✓
Texas State @ James Madison +3.7 140.4 64% 57–82 ✓
Southern Miss @ Coastal Carolina +1.4 143.9 66% 67–85 ✓
South Carolina @ Texas A&M +9.8 155.6 80% 69–92 ✓
Delaware @ Liberty +13.1 134.0 87% 51–67 ✓
St. John's @ Xavier -7.2 155.7 22% 88–83 ✓
Coppin State @ Norfolk State +13.2 137.9 88% 76–103 ✓
Army @ Navy +12.7 141.8 88% 56–84 ✓
VMI @ Western Carolina +8.1 147.5 77% 58–88 ✓
West Virginia @ Arizona +16.1 140.6 88% 53–88 ✓
Houston @ Texas Tech +0.9 137.9 50% 86–90 ✓
Morgan State @ Howard +12.3 140.4 88% 78–77 ✗
George Mason @ Rhode Island -0.8 132.3 37% 65–74 ✗
Duquesne @ Loyola Chicago -6.9 153.8 27% 71–59 ✓
Dayton @ Saint Joseph's -5.8 140.5 29% 74–81 ✗
Boston University @ Colgate +8.5 148.1 79% 79–80 ✓
Winthrop @ Presbyterian -4.9 143.3 26% 82–72 ✓
Miami @ Syracuse -1.7 146.9 44% 85–76 ✓
Bucknell @ Loyola Maryland +1.9 141.0 62% 62–67 ✓
Columbia @ Dartmouth -0.2 150.2 51% 79–69 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ South Dakota -6.3 156.5 28% 90–78 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Ball State +3.0 133.6 60% 53–58 ✓
Cornell @ Harvard +5.6 154.2 68% 86–79 ✗
Yale @ Pennsylvania -4.5 150.2 36% 77–60 ✓
Binghamton @ Maine +5.7 124.4 71% 63–79 ✓
UAlbany @ New Hampshire +0.0 135.8 55% 72–80 ✓
Northeastern @ Drexel +4.2 136.8 66% 78–83 ✓
Chattanooga @ Samford +2.9 145.7 63% 64–75 ✓
Arkansas State @ Georgia State -3.4 148.2 36% 81–82 ✗
Oklahoma @ Missouri +4.5 149.5 72% 87–88 ✓
Florida International @ New Mexico State +7.4 148.9 78% 81–78 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Sam Houston +6.1 153.3 75% 58–73 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Louisville +13.7 155.4 85% 71–85 ✓
Nicholls @ SE Louisiana -1.2 136.6 44% 61–67 ✗
Queens University @ West Georgia -6.7 157.4 27% 66–74 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ SIU Edwardsville +8.5 132.1 79% 58–62 ✓
Illinois @ Purdue +3.5 145.7 65% 88–82 ✗
Iowa State @ Oklahoma State -9.0 154.6 18% 84–71 ✓
Richmond @ George Washington +8.5 154.0 79% 69–85 ✓
UCF @ Colorado -1.1 154.5 46% 95–86 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Merrimack +1.2 132.5 51% 59–67 ✓
North Dakota State @ Oral Roberts -8.6 144.9 22% 86–58 ✓
Oakland @ Detroit Mercy -5.5 160.8 33% 95–87 ✓
Troy @ Georgia Southern -5.2 165.2 29% 83–78 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville +0.3 138.9 48% 76–81 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Texas Southern -3.1 144.5 36% 74–89 ✗
Kent State @ Eastern Michigan +1.8 152.7 56% 76–75 ✗
New Orleans @ McNeese +14.9 148.3 88% 63–82 ✓
Tennessee State @ Lindenwood +2.2 153.0 65% 96–86 ✗
Auburn @ Florida +9.6 159.5 80% 76–67 ✗
Murray State @ Northern Iowa -0.5 139.3 50% 76–81 ✗
San José State @ Wyoming +13.1 138.9 87% 62–66 ✓
Memphis @ Wichita State +4.3 141.3 71% 59–74 ✓
Jackson State @ Bethune-Cookman +9.2 151.4 83% 48–85 ✓
San Diego State @ UNLV -4.1 152.3 29% 82–71 ✓
Florida State @ SMU +13.6 160.3 87% 80–83 ✓
Air Force @ Boise State +20.5 138.1 91% 54–96 ✓
North Dakota @ Denver +4.3 155.7 71% 93–86 ✗
Rider @ Mount St. Mary's +7.7 135.5 79% 61–71 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Lamar -6.1 132.5 25% 88–81 ✓
Missouri State @ UTEP -0.4 137.7 47% 62–57 ✓
Tulsa @ Rice -12.5 147.5 17% 87–81 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word -0.4 131.3 45% 79–71 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Houston Christian -2.6 138.1 36% 68–51 ✓
LSU @ Arkansas +10.5 161.2 77% 81–85 ✓
VCU @ Davidson -4.1 143.9 34% 75–69 ✓
Seton Hall @ DePaul -3.1 130.5 36% 60–67 ✗
Bowling Green @ Toledo -0.8 151.8 44% 72–73 ✗
UC Riverside @ UC Davis +9.6 147.4 82% 66–74 ✓
Portland State @ Idaho +0.7 145.7 51% 69–66 ✗
Sacramento State @ Eastern Washington +4.0 155.8 68% 67–75 ✓
Utah @ BYU +19.1 160.0 90% 78–91 ✓
Alabama State @ Prairie View A&M +2.5 154.3 64% 95–80 ✗
Alcorn State @ Florida A&M +7.2 142.2 79% 58–66 ✓
Pepperdine @ Washington State +9.2 140.1 81% 79–95 ✓
TCU @ Baylor +3.1 150.2 66% 97–90 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Southern +5.2 154.3 70% 75–74 ✗
Northwestern @ UCLA +6.4 139.5 75% 64–71 ✓
Boston College @ Notre Dame +8.7 135.2 77% 64–68 ✓
Central Michigan @ Western Michigan +7.9 146.8 80% 65–77 ✓
Idaho State @ Montana +5.3 146.7 71% 60–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.