The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Mid-American Conference · Gervin GameAbove Center · January 24, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread KENT -4.5 Home covered
O/U 154.5 Under
Money EMU +154 / KENT -185
Model Predictions
Spread Total EMU win
Actual KENT +1 151 Lost
Massey EMU -1.8 (-2.8) — —
Massey Totals — 159.9 (-8.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 32% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 30% ✓
Baseline Plus ML EMU -1.8 (-2.8) 152.7 (-1.7) 56% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENT -1.0 (-0.0) 150.2 (+0.8) 42% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML EMU -1.1 (-2.1) 148.7 (+2.3) 55% ✗
Baseline ML EMU -0.8 (-1.8) 148.0 (+3.0) 55% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 12, 2026 KENT 95 – 91 EMU
Mar 8, 2025 KENT 76 – 70 EMU
Feb 4, 2025 KENT 70 – 49 EMU
Jan 6, 2024 EMU 71 – 69 KENT
Feb 17, 2023 KENT 81 – 54 EMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EMU KENT
Overall 10-21 24-10
Conference 4-14 14-4
Home 7-7 14-3
Away 3-14 7-6
Neutral 0-0 3-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L4 L2
Avg Pts For 70.2 82.2
Avg Pts Against 74.4 80.6
Massey -1.0 (#184) 0.4 (#158)
Bradley-Terry -0.27 (#202) 1.04 (#88)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.26 (#192) 1.19 (#96)
RPI 0.483 (#211) 0.573 (#62)
Shooting & Four Factors EMU KENT
FG% 44.9% 46.2%
3PT% 34.4% 35.8%
REB / G 35.4 38.1
OREB / G 10.2 12.8
AST / TO 1.09 1.19
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 54.3%
TOV% 17.3% 18.6%
ORB% 29.0% 35.9%
FT Rate 22.5% 33.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.3% 54.5%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 16.2%
DRB% 71.0% 70.6%
Opp FT Rate 22.9% 29.4%

Game Analysis

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