They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
Mid-American Conference · Gervin GameAbove Center · January 24, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread KENT -4.5 Home covered
O/U 154.5 Under
Money EMU +154 / KENT -185
Model Predictions
Spread Total EMU win
Actual KENT +1 151 Lost
Massey EMU -1.8 (-2.8)
Massey Totals 159.9 (-8.9)
Bradley-Terry 32%
Weighted B-T 30%
Efficiency Plus ML KENT -1.0 (-0.0) 150.2 (+0.8) 42%
Baseline Tuned ML EMU -1.1 (-2.1) 148.7 (+2.3) 55%
Baseline ML EMU -0.8 (-1.8) 148.0 (+3.0) 55%
Baseline Plus ML EMU -1.8 (-2.8) 152.7 (-1.7) 56%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 12, 2026 KENT 9591 EMU
Mar 8, 2025 KENT 7670 EMU
Feb 4, 2025 KENT 7049 EMU
Jan 6, 2024 EMU 7169 KENT
Feb 17, 2023 KENT 8154 EMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EMU KENT
Overall 10-21 24-10
Conference 4-14 14-4
Home 7-7 14-3
Away 3-14 7-6
Neutral 0-0 3-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L4 L2
Avg Pts For 70.2 82.2
Avg Pts Against 74.4 80.6
Massey -1.0 (#184) 0.4 (#158)
Bradley-Terry -0.27 (#202) 1.04 (#88)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.26 (#192) 1.19 (#96)
RPI 0.483 (#211) 0.573 (#62)
Shooting & Four Factors EMU KENT
FG% 44.9% 46.2%
3PT% 34.4% 35.8%
REB / G 35.4 38.1
OREB / G 10.2 12.8
AST / TO 1.09 1.19
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 54.3%
TOV% 17.3% 18.6%
ORB% 29.0% 35.9%
FT Rate 22.5% 33.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.3% 54.5%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 16.2%
DRB% 71.0% 70.6%
Opp FT Rate 22.9% 29.4%

Game Analysis

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