He took it all too far, but boy could he play guitar. "Ziggy Stardust" - David Bowie
Mid-American Conference · Gervin GameAbove Center · January 6, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread KENT -10.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money EMU +345 / KENT -455
Model Predictions
Spread Total EMU win
Actual EMU +2 140 Won
Massey KENT -8.1 (+10.1)
Massey Totals 151.4 (-11.4)
Bradley-Terry 39%
Weighted B-T 33%
Efficiency Plus ML KENT -8.9 (+10.9) 148.4 (-8.4) 21%
Baseline Tuned ML KENT -5.6 (+7.6) 146.6 (-6.6) 29%
Baseline ML KENT -7.0 (+9.0) 148.0 (-8.0) 27%
Baseline Plus ML KENT -5.9 (+7.9) 149.2 (-9.2) 28%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 12, 2026 KENT 9591 EMU
Jan 24, 2026 KENT 7675 EMU
Mar 8, 2025 KENT 7670 EMU
Feb 4, 2025 KENT 7049 EMU
Feb 17, 2023 KENT 8154 EMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EMU KENT
Overall 13-18 17-17
Conference 6-12 8-10
Home 9-6 9-6
Away 4-11 4-9
Neutral 0-1 4-2
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 65.9 73.8
Avg Pts Against 73.6 72.0
Massey -9.3 (#316) 3.2 (#124)
Bradley-Terry -0.81 (#252) 0.48 (#132)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.93 (#243) 0.71 (#129)
RPI 0.442 (#274) 0.541 (#109)
Shooting & Four Factors EMU KENT
FG% 46.1% 44.4%
3PT% 34.9% 35.3%
REB / G 32.4 35.6
OREB / G 7.8 10.9
AST / TO 0.91 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.6% 50.8%
TOV% 17.1% 18.7%
ORB% 23.8% 31.2%
FT Rate 21.4% 30.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.9% 51.4%
Opp TOV% 14.1% 19.8%
DRB% 69.2% 69.4%
Opp FT Rate 22.6% 23.8%

Game Analysis

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