Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
Mid-American Conference · Gervin GameAbove Center · January 6, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread KENT -10.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money EMU +345 / KENT -455
Model Predictions
Spread Total EMU win
Actual EMU +2 140 Won
Massey KENT -8.1 (+10.1) — —
Massey Totals — 151.4 (-11.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 39% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 33% ✗
Baseline Plus ML KENT -5.9 (+7.9) 149.2 (-9.2) 28% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENT -8.9 (+10.9) 148.4 (-8.4) 21% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML KENT -5.6 (+7.6) 146.6 (-6.6) 29% ✗
Baseline ML KENT -7.0 (+9.0) 148.0 (-8.0) 27% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 12, 2026 KENT 95 – 91 EMU
Jan 24, 2026 KENT 76 – 75 EMU
Mar 8, 2025 KENT 76 – 70 EMU
Feb 4, 2025 KENT 70 – 49 EMU
Feb 17, 2023 KENT 81 – 54 EMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EMU KENT
Overall 13-18 17-17
Conference 6-12 8-10
Home 9-6 9-6
Away 4-11 4-9
Neutral 0-1 4-2
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 65.9 73.8
Avg Pts Against 73.6 72.0
Massey -9.3 (#316) 3.2 (#124)
Bradley-Terry -0.81 (#252) 0.48 (#132)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.93 (#243) 0.71 (#129)
RPI 0.442 (#274) 0.541 (#109)
Shooting & Four Factors EMU KENT
FG% 46.1% 44.4%
3PT% 34.9% 35.3%
REB / G 32.4 35.6
OREB / G 7.8 10.9
AST / TO 0.91 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.6% 50.8%
TOV% 17.1% 18.7%
ORB% 23.8% 31.2%
FT Rate 21.4% 30.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.9% 51.4%
Opp TOV% 14.1% 19.8%
DRB% 69.2% 69.4%
Opp FT Rate 22.6% 23.8%

Game Analysis

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