Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
Mid-American Conference · M.A.C. Center · February 12, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread KENT -10.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money KENT -575 / EMU +425
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENT win
Actual KENT +4 186 Won
Massey KENT -7.0 (-3.0) — —
Massey Totals — 152.0 (+34.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 91% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 93% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KENT -6.5 (-2.5) 144.5 (+41.5) 76% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENT -8.1 (-4.1) 144.5 (+41.5) 82% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KENT -5.8 (-1.8) 141.7 (+44.3) 76% ✓
Baseline ML KENT -6.3 (-2.3) 142.3 (+43.7) 77% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 KENT 76 – 75 EMU
Mar 8, 2025 KENT 76 – 70 EMU
Feb 4, 2025 KENT 70 – 49 EMU
Jan 6, 2024 EMU 71 – 69 KENT
Feb 17, 2023 KENT 81 – 54 EMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENT EMU
Overall 24-10 10-21
Conference 14-4 4-14
Home 14-3 7-7
Away 7-6 3-14
Neutral 3-1 0-0
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L2 L4
Avg Pts For 82.2 70.2
Avg Pts Against 80.6 74.4
Massey 1.0 (#148) -3.0 (#218)
Bradley-Terry 0.98 (#88) -0.77 (#235)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.15 (#94) -0.84 (#229)
RPI 0.575 (#57) 0.453 (#258)
Shooting & Four Factors KENT EMU
FG% 44.1% 44.0%
3PT% 33.8% 32.8%
REB / G 39.9 35.3
OREB / G 13.7 10.0
AST / TO 1.07 1.04
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.6% 49.3%
TOV% 19.1% 17.5%
ORB% 36.8% 28.4%
FT Rate 32.2% 21.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.8% 50.0%
Opp TOV% 16.0% 16.4%
DRB% 70.4% 70.9%
Opp FT Rate 27.4% 24.7%

Game Analysis

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