And I'm so pilled up that I rattle. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
Mid-American Conference · Gervin GameAbove Center · February 4, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread KENT -7.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money EMU +290 / KENT -380
Model Predictions
Spread Total EMU win
Actual KENT +21 119 Lost
Massey KENT -6.3 (-14.7) — —
Massey Totals — 135.2 (-16.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 43% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 32% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KENT -4.6 (-16.4) 137.6 (-18.6) 27% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENT -7.2 (-13.8) 136.0 (-17.0) 25% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KENT -4.6 (-16.4) 134.8 (-15.8) 32% ✓
Baseline ML KENT -4.3 (-16.7) 136.4 (-17.4) 32% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 12, 2026 KENT 95 – 91 EMU
Jan 24, 2026 KENT 76 – 75 EMU
Mar 8, 2025 KENT 76 – 70 EMU
Jan 6, 2024 EMU 71 – 69 KENT
Feb 17, 2023 KENT 81 – 54 EMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EMU KENT
Overall 16-16 24-12
Conference 9-9 11-7
Home 9-5 11-4
Away 6-10 10-6
Neutral 1-1 3-2
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 73.3 72.5
Avg Pts Against 77.1 68.4
Massey -8.5 (#301) 1.0 (#147)
Bradley-Terry -0.60 (#227) 0.27 (#149)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.20 (#253) 0.23 (#152)
RPI 0.472 (#230) 0.526 (#130)
Shooting & Four Factors EMU KENT
FG% 45.4% 40.0%
3PT% 34.1% 27.0%
REB / G 31.6 36.1
OREB / G 9.5 12.7
AST / TO 0.96 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.0% 45.5%
TOV% 18.9% 16.6%
ORB% 28.1% 34.3%
FT Rate 24.3% 20.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.7% 47.4%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 20.7%
DRB% 68.4% 71.9%
Opp FT Rate 29.3% 31.2%

Game Analysis

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