Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UCLA -360 NU +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +7 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -5.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -6.0 (+1.0) | 139.2 (-4.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -7.4 (-0.4) | 138.1 (-3.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -6.4 (+0.6) | 139.5 (-4.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -6.2 (+0.8) | 140.2 (-5.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2025 | UCLA 73 – 69 NU |
| Mar 19, 2023 | UCLA 68 – 63 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 5-15 |
| Home | 17-1 | 9-8 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#45) | 9.7 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.27 (#39) | 0.87 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#52) | 1.29 (#93) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#59) | 0.537 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 2.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 12.4% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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