Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | NU +120 UCLA -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +4 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -1.3 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -0.8 (-4.8) | 134.2 (+7.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | NU -0.7 (-4.7) | 131.7 (+10.3) | 57% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | NU -0.6 (-4.6) | 133.0 (+9.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NU -0.7 (-4.7) | 134.2 (+7.8) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | UCLA 71 – 64 NU |
| Mar 19, 2023 | UCLA 68 – 63 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-5 | 15-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#52) | 16.0 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#65) | 2.52 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#54) | 3.14 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#96) | 0.587 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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