You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Dartmouth Big Green
69 79
FINAL Conference
Columbia Lions
Ivy League · Leede Arena · January 24, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread COLU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 156.5 Under
Money DART +114 / COLU -135
Model Predictions
Spread Total DART win
Actual COLU +10 148 Lost
Massey COLU -1.4 (-8.6)
Massey Totals 156.7 (-8.7)
Bradley-Terry 44%
Weighted B-T 48%
Efficiency Plus ML COLU -1.4 (-8.6) 149.0 (-1.0) 50%
Baseline Tuned ML COLU -0.7 (-9.3) 151.2 (-3.2) 51%
Baseline ML COLU -0.6 (-9.4) 151.7 (-3.7) 49%
Baseline Plus ML COLU -0.2 (-9.8) 150.2 (-2.2) 51%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 DART 6463 COLU
Feb 14, 2025 DART 7856 COLU
Feb 1, 2025 DART 9589 COLU
Feb 17, 2024 COLU 7363 DART
Feb 3, 2024 COLU 7256 DART

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DART COLU
Overall 11-16 16-12
Conference 5-9 5-9
Home 5-8 9-5
Away 6-8 7-7
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L3 L2
Avg Pts For 73.1 74.9
Avg Pts Against 78.4 73.5
Massey -3.4 (#218) 1.2 (#148)
Bradley-Terry -0.67 (#227) 0.13 (#154)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.91 (#229) -0.21 (#184)
RPI 0.478 (#220) 0.532 (#113)
Shooting & Four Factors DART COLU
FG% 44.2% 48.0%
3PT% 38.4% 36.5%
REB / G 35.1 38.8
OREB / G 9.2 12.2
AST / TO 1.01 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.5% 54.8%
TOV% 18.5% 20.0%
ORB% 27.2% 37.2%
FT Rate 26.8% 23.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.5% 50.2%
Opp TOV% 13.3% 14.3%
DRB% 69.1% 72.2%
Opp FT Rate 21.2% 24.4%

Game Analysis

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