What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
Dartmouth Big Green
69 – 79
FINAL Conference
Columbia Lions
Ivy League · Leede Arena · January 24, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread COLU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 156.5 Under
Money DART +114 / COLU -135
Model Predictions
Spread Total DART win
Actual COLU +10 148 Lost
Massey COLU -1.4 (-8.6) — —
Massey Totals — 156.7 (-8.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 44% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 48% ✓
Baseline Plus ML COLU -0.2 (-9.8) 150.2 (-2.2) 51% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COLU -1.4 (-8.6) 149.0 (-1.0) 50% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML COLU -0.7 (-9.3) 151.2 (-3.2) 51% ✗
Baseline ML COLU -0.6 (-9.4) 151.7 (-3.7) 49% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 DART 64 – 63 COLU
Feb 14, 2025 DART 78 – 56 COLU
Feb 1, 2025 DART 95 – 89 COLU
Feb 17, 2024 COLU 73 – 63 DART
Feb 3, 2024 COLU 72 – 56 DART

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DART COLU
Overall 11-16 16-12
Conference 5-9 5-9
Home 5-8 9-5
Away 6-8 7-7
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L3 L2
Avg Pts For 73.1 74.9
Avg Pts Against 78.4 73.5
Massey -3.4 (#218) 1.2 (#148)
Bradley-Terry -0.67 (#227) 0.13 (#154)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.91 (#229) -0.21 (#184)
RPI 0.478 (#220) 0.532 (#113)
Shooting & Four Factors DART COLU
FG% 44.2% 48.0%
3PT% 38.4% 36.5%
REB / G 35.1 38.8
OREB / G 9.2 12.2
AST / TO 1.01 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.5% 54.8%
TOV% 18.5% 20.0%
ORB% 27.2% 37.2%
FT Rate 26.8% 23.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.5% 50.2%
Opp TOV% 13.3% 14.3%
DRB% 69.1% 72.2%
Opp FT Rate 21.2% 24.4%

Game Analysis

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