Betting Lines
| Spread | COLU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | COLU -165 DART +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +6 | 184 | Lost |
| Massey | COLU -7.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.5 (+24.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLU -6.0 (-12.0) | 154.1 (+29.9) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -4.9 (-10.9) | 152.1 (+31.9) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -5.0 (-11.0) | 152.9 (+31.1) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLU -6.0 (-12.0) | 154.8 (+29.2) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | DART 64 – 63 COLU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | COLU 79 – 69 DART |
| Feb 14, 2025 | DART 78 – 56 COLU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | COLU 73 – 63 DART |
| Feb 3, 2024 | COLU 72 – 56 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 14-14 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 8-6 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L7 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#207) | -6.6 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#195) | -0.94 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#211) | -1.48 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#212) | 0.465 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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