This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
Columbia Lions
63 – 64
FINAL Conference
Dartmouth Big Green
Ivy League · Levien Gymnasium · February 21, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread COLU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 150.5 Under
Money COLU -305 / DART +245
Model Predictions
Spread Total COLU win
Actual DART +1 127 Lost
Massey COLU -7.5 (-8.5) — —
Massey Totals — 154.1 (-27.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 82% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 82% ✗
Baseline Plus ML COLU -6.2 (-7.2) 146.8 (-19.8) 74% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COLU -5.0 (-6.0) 147.1 (-20.1) 72% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML COLU -5.9 (-6.9) 146.0 (-19.0) 73% ✗
Baseline ML COLU -5.6 (-6.6) 145.3 (-18.3) 73% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 COLU 79 – 69 DART
Feb 14, 2025 DART 78 – 56 COLU
Feb 1, 2025 DART 95 – 89 COLU
Feb 17, 2024 COLU 73 – 63 DART
Feb 3, 2024 COLU 72 – 56 DART

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COLU DART
Overall 16-12 11-16
Conference 5-9 5-9
Home 9-5 5-8
Away 7-7 6-8
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L2 L3
Avg Pts For 74.9 73.1
Avg Pts Against 73.5 78.4
Massey -0.4 (#173) -4.9 (#242)
Bradley-Terry -0.10 (#171) -1.13 (#271)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.41 (#200) -1.35 (#264)
RPI 0.522 (#128) 0.465 (#248)
Shooting & Four Factors COLU DART
FG% 47.7% 43.7%
3PT% 37.0% 37.5%
REB / G 37.6 33.8
OREB / G 12.0 8.3
AST / TO 1.14 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.7% 52.7%
TOV% 19.6% 18.5%
ORB% 36.2% 24.8%
FT Rate 21.7% 26.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.1% 51.7%
Opp TOV% 14.3% 13.8%
DRB% 72.0% 70.0%
Opp FT Rate 24.4% 21.5%

Game Analysis

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