Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
Columbia Lions
73 – 63
FINAL Conference
Dartmouth Big Green
Ivy League · Levien Gymnasium · February 17, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread COLU -9.5 Home covered
O/U 133.5 Over
Money COLU -500 / DART +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total COLU win
Actual COLU +10 136 Won
Massey COLU -14.0 (-4.0) — —
Massey Totals — 133.3 (+2.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 92% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Baseline Plus ML COLU -10.4 (-0.4) 133.8 (+2.2) 86% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COLU -8.8 (+1.2) 135.2 (+0.8) 85% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML COLU -10.8 (-0.8) 132.5 (+3.5) 87% ✓
Baseline ML COLU -10.4 (-0.4) 132.0 (+4.0) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 DART 64 – 63 COLU
Jan 24, 2026 COLU 79 – 69 DART
Feb 14, 2025 DART 78 – 56 COLU
Feb 1, 2025 DART 95 – 89 COLU
Feb 3, 2024 COLU 72 – 56 DART

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COLU DART
Overall 13-14 6-21
Conference 4-10 2-12
Home 9-6 6-7
Away 4-8 0-14
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L6 W1
Avg Pts For 73.6 60.6
Avg Pts Against 75.3 73.2
Massey -1.6 (#189) -12.2 (#335)
Bradley-Terry -0.20 (#190) -1.98 (#333)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.24 (#192) -2.36 (#329)
RPI 0.490 (#191) 0.411 (#326)
Shooting & Four Factors COLU DART
FG% 45.0% 39.2%
3PT% 37.9% 28.8%
REB / G 35.1 32.6
OREB / G 9.4 6.9
AST / TO 1.31 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.4% 45.4%
TOV% 17.6% 19.1%
ORB% 27.8% 19.9%
FT Rate 21.8% 18.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.0% 52.4%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 13.7%
DRB% 71.5% 75.5%
Opp FT Rate 21.2% 18.4%

Game Analysis

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