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Dartmouth Big Green
78 – 56
FINAL Conference
Columbia Lions
Ivy League · Leede Arena · February 14, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread DART -1.5 Home covered
O/U 160.5 Under
Money DART -120 / COLU +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total DART win
Actual DART +22 134 Won
Massey DART -1.7 (+20.3) — —
Massey Totals — 161.3 (-27.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 62% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 65% ✓
Baseline Plus ML DART -1.4 (+20.6) 156.5 (-22.5) 59% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DART -1.5 (+20.5) 155.4 (-21.4) 62% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML DART -2.1 (+19.9) 154.2 (-20.2) 60% ✓
Baseline ML DART -1.7 (+20.3) 155.5 (-21.5) 61% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 DART 64 – 63 COLU
Jan 24, 2026 COLU 79 – 69 DART
Feb 1, 2025 DART 95 – 89 COLU
Feb 17, 2024 COLU 73 – 63 DART
Feb 3, 2024 COLU 72 – 56 DART

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DART COLU
Overall 14-14 12-15
Conference 8-6 1-13
Home 9-4 9-6
Away 5-9 3-9
Neutral 0-1 0-0
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L2 L7
Avg Pts For 74.2 77.1
Avg Pts Against 73.5 80.6
Massey -5.2 (#251) -3.8 (#228)
Bradley-Terry -0.70 (#234) -0.63 (#227)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.07 (#245) -1.05 (#244)
RPI 0.478 (#218) 0.463 (#248)
Shooting & Four Factors DART COLU
FG% 42.3% 47.5%
3PT% 35.5% 36.4%
REB / G 35.5 33.8
OREB / G 8.3 9.4
AST / TO 1.17 1.48
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.5% 54.9%
TOV% 16.5% 16.2%
ORB% 23.0% 28.1%
FT Rate 24.2% 22.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.4% 55.1%
Opp TOV% 14.3% 17.7%
DRB% 73.8% 71.7%
Opp FT Rate 17.0% 19.2%

Game Analysis

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