And I'm so pilled up that I rattle. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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20–7 on winners spread MAE 8.0 27 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Lafayette @ Lehigh +4.1 145.1 69% 59–64 ✓
Seattle U @ Pacific +3.2 136.2 64% 54–56 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Long Beach State -2.5 146.8 39% 74–71 ✓
Canisius @ Fairfield +9.8 134.0 84% 55–61 ✓
Manhattan @ Iona +11.0 153.5 87% 57–66 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal Poly -1.2 163.5 44% 93–78 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Fresno State -1.6 137.0 44% 68–57 ✓
San Francisco @ Gonzaga +21.3 147.9 91% 66–68 ✓
Kansas @ Kansas State -5.6 152.0 26% 86–62 ✓
UIC @ Bradley +4.5 145.1 67% 85–70 ✗
Nevada @ New Mexico +6.1 144.7 74% 73–80 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Portland -12.5 140.6 14% 75–69 ✓
California @ Stanford +2.8 143.0 63% 78–66 ✗
Omaha @ Kansas City -4.4 144.8 34% 77–60 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona -4.8 147.6 29% 77–81 ✗
Weber State @ Montana State +6.5 146.4 75% 88–91 ✓
Utah Valley @ California Baptist +1.5 139.4 63% 71–78 ✓
Tennessee @ Alabama +6.0 164.6 69% 79–73 ✗
Southern Utah @ Utah Tech +8.1 146.0 79% 91–102 ✓
Santa Clara @ San Diego -12.2 152.5 14% 85–73 ✓
Cincinnati @ Arizona State -1.2 145.5 48% 68–82 ✗
UC Irvine @ UC San Diego +4.9 144.3 69% 61–59 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Hawai'i +12.5 153.1 86% 68–89 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ South Florida +5.2 159.6 70% 75–89 ✓
Oregon @ Washington +7.9 145.3 79% 57–72 ✓
Chicago State @ Mercyhurst +8.1 127.4 74% 59–61 ✓
USC @ Wisconsin +6.2 158.4 76% 73–71 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.