Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU +164 UCSB -198 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +3 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSB -2.9 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -2.6 (-0.4) | 146.1 (-1.1) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -4.1 (+1.1) | 144.1 (+0.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -2.5 (-0.5) | 146.8 (-1.8) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -2.4 (-0.6) | 148.4 (-3.4) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2025 | UCSB 84 – 77 LBSU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCSB 58 – 56 LBSU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UCSB 85 – 54 LBSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UCSB 76 – 74 LBSU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | UCSB 85 – 76 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 11-9 |
| Home | 7-9 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#243) | 1.4 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#241) | 0.10 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#228) | 0.05 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#275) | 0.501 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.4% | 33.2% |
Game Analysis
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