Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | LBSU -188 UCSB +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +2 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | LBSU -4.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -3.6 (-5.6) | 150.6 (-0.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -3.2 (-5.2) | 149.1 (+0.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -3.8 (-5.8) | 151.8 (-1.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -3.5 (-5.5) | 152.0 (-2.0) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | UCSB 74 – 71 LBSU |
| Dec 5, 2025 | UCSB 84 – 77 LBSU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCSB 58 – 56 LBSU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UCSB 85 – 54 LBSU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | UCSB 85 – 76 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 9-7 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#169) | -1.3 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#145) | -0.29 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#153) | -0.31 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#174) | 0.481 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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