Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | UCSB -125 LBSU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +9 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | UCSB -1.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -0.7 (+8.3) | 155.8 (+5.2) | 51% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UCSB -1.0 (+8.0) | 152.6 (+8.4) | 55% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UCSB -1.0 (+8.0) | 151.8 (+9.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -0.3 (+8.7) | 152.7 (+8.3) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | UCSB 74 – 71 LBSU |
| Dec 5, 2025 | UCSB 84 – 77 LBSU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCSB 58 – 56 LBSU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UCSB 85 – 54 LBSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UCSB 76 – 74 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#213) | -0.1 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#222) | 0.51 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#223) | 0.42 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#247) | 0.511 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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