Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | LBSU +270 UCSB -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +2 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSB -8.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (-22.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -7.5 (+5.5) | 138.2 (-24.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UCSB -7.4 (+5.4) | 134.9 (-20.9) | 25% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UCSB -7.5 (+5.5) | 139.1 (-25.1) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -7.8 (+5.8) | 140.8 (-26.8) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | UCSB 74 – 71 LBSU |
| Dec 5, 2025 | UCSB 84 – 77 LBSU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UCSB 85 – 54 LBSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UCSB 76 – 74 LBSU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | UCSB 85 – 76 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 11-9 |
| Home | 3-11 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L15 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#318) | 2.0 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#317) | 0.32 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#300) | 0.20 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#313) | 0.480 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 39.6% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 64.0% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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