Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UCSB -360 LBSU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +31 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | UCSB -12.9 (+18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -11.3 (+19.7) | 134.7 (+4.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UCSB -9.3 (+21.7) | 133.5 (+5.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UCSB -10.4 (+20.6) | 137.3 (+1.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -10.4 (+20.6) | 134.9 (+4.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | UCSB 74 – 71 LBSU |
| Dec 5, 2025 | UCSB 84 – 77 LBSU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCSB 58 – 56 LBSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UCSB 76 – 74 LBSU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | UCSB 85 – 76 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 3-17 |
| Home | 12-5 | 3-11 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L15 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#148) | -8.8 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#160) | -1.36 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#180) | -1.57 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#239) | 0.441 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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