Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | UCSB -1200 LBSU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +7 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | UCSB -12.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -8.5 (-1.5) | 146.6 (+14.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -11.1 (-4.1) | 140.9 (+20.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -10.2 (-3.2) | 145.4 (+15.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -8.6 (-1.6) | 147.9 (+13.1) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | UCSB 74 – 71 LBSU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCSB 58 – 56 LBSU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UCSB 85 – 54 LBSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UCSB 76 – 74 LBSU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | UCSB 85 – 76 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-4 | 7-9 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 79.0 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#174) | -7.7 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#134) | -2.05 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#153) | -2.38 (#303) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#113) | 0.398 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.7% | 33.1% |
Game Analysis
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