Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -345 MAN +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +9 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -12.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.8 (-39.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -11.0 (-2.0) | 153.5 (-30.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -8.9 (+0.1) | 154.3 (-31.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -10.8 (-1.8) | 151.2 (-28.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -11.4 (-2.4) | 151.8 (-28.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | IONA 69 – 65 MAN |
| Mar 13, 2025 | IONA 77 – 65 MAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | IONA 65 – 60 MAN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MAN 76 – 55 IONA |
| Mar 13, 2024 | IONA 60 – 57 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 79.6 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#230) | -13.1 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#174) | -1.65 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#190) | -2.34 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#156) | 0.427 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 61.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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