Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | MAN +120 IONA -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -4.7 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (-25.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -3.3 (-0.7) | 151.7 (-17.7) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -2.3 (-1.7) | 150.5 (-16.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -3.3 (-0.7) | 148.8 (-14.8) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -3.4 (-0.6) | 151.2 (-17.2) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | IONA 66 – 57 MAN |
| Mar 13, 2025 | IONA 77 – 65 MAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | IONA 65 – 60 MAN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MAN 76 – 55 IONA |
| Mar 13, 2024 | IONA 60 – 57 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 7-7 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.6 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#333) | -4.6 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#293) | -0.47 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#307) | -0.61 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#276) | 0.502 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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