Betting Lines
| Spread | MAN -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | MAN -105 IONA -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MAN +21 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | MAN -4.1 (+16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (-22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MAN -2.8 (+18.2) | 143.5 (-12.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MAN -2.0 (+19.0) | 144.2 (-13.2) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MAN -2.0 (+19.0) | 145.1 (-14.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MAN -2.3 (+18.7) | 144.2 (-13.2) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | IONA 69 – 65 MAN |
| Jan 25, 2026 | IONA 66 – 57 MAN |
| Mar 13, 2025 | IONA 77 – 65 MAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | IONA 65 – 60 MAN |
| Mar 13, 2024 | IONA 60 – 57 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 8-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#265) | -7.4 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#241) | -1.06 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#267) | -1.43 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#235) | 0.443 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 15.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 40.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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