Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -170 MAN +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +5 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -1.1 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (-27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MAN -0.1 (+5.1) | 149.0 (-24.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -1.8 (+3.2) | 147.8 (-22.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -0.1 (+4.9) | 148.0 (-23.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -0.4 (+4.6) | 150.4 (-25.4) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | IONA 69 – 65 MAN |
| Jan 25, 2026 | IONA 66 – 57 MAN |
| Mar 13, 2025 | IONA 77 – 65 MAN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MAN 76 – 55 IONA |
| Mar 13, 2024 | IONA 60 – 57 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#280) | -5.0 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#259) | -0.54 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#274) | -0.94 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#266) | 0.487 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 38.1% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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