Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -140 MAN +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +12 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MAN -2.1 (+14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MAN -2.0 (+14.0) | 144.2 (-2.2) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MAN -0.8 (+12.8) | 143.4 (-1.4) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MAN -2.1 (+14.1) | 144.2 (-2.2) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MAN -2.1 (+14.1) | 145.1 (-3.1) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | IONA 69 – 65 MAN |
| Jan 25, 2026 | IONA 66 – 57 MAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | IONA 65 – 60 MAN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MAN 76 – 55 IONA |
| Mar 13, 2024 | IONA 60 – 57 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#267) | -4.1 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#242) | -0.51 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#255) | -0.75 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#233) | 0.489 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 39.2% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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