Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | PAC -130 SEA +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +2 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | PAC -3.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (-26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PAC -2.2 (-0.2) | 134.9 (-24.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PAC -3.3 (-1.3) | 134.2 (-24.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PAC -3.2 (-1.2) | 135.0 (-25.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PAC -3.2 (-1.2) | 136.2 (-26.2) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | PAC 61 – 58 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#120) | 3.3 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#120) | 0.78 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#112) | 0.96 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#108) | 0.516 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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