Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | WASH -395 ORE +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +15 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -8.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -7.9 (+7.1) | 145.3 (-16.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -6.0 (+9.0) | 145.5 (-16.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -7.5 (+7.5) | 142.0 (-13.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -7.7 (+7.3) | 141.3 (-12.3) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ORE 85 – 79 WASH |
| Mar 9, 2025 | ORE 80 – 73 WASH |
| Jan 22, 2025 | ORE 82 – 71 WASH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | ORE 85 – 80 WASH |
| Jan 5, 2024 | ORE 76 – 74 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 5-15 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-7 |
| Away | 4-9 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#48) | 6.5 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#71) | 0.67 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#63) | 1.05 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#74) | 0.533 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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