Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | WASH -205 ORE +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +2 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | WASH -8.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -5.2 (-7.2) | 154.6 (-4.6) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -5.3 (-7.3) | 153.3 (-3.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -5.3 (-7.3) | 152.3 (-2.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -5.2 (-7.2) | 153.5 (-3.5) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ORE 85 – 79 WASH |
| Jan 25, 2026 | WASH 72 – 57 ORE |
| Mar 9, 2025 | ORE 80 – 73 WASH |
| Jan 22, 2025 | ORE 82 – 71 WASH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | ORE 85 – 80 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.6 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#43) | 7.7 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#60) | 1.42 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#56) | 1.80 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#42) | 0.586 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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