Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Washington Huskies
74 76
FINAL Conference
Oregon Ducks
Pac-12 Conference · Alaska Airlines Arena · January 5, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WASH -5.0 Away covered
O/U 154.5 Under
Money WASH -205 / ORE +170
Model Predictions
Spread Total WASH win
Actual ORE +2 150 Lost
Massey WASH -8.0 (-10.0)
Massey Totals 158.9 (-8.9)
Bradley-Terry 75%
Weighted B-T 80%
Efficiency Plus ML WASH -5.3 (-7.3) 153.3 (-3.3) 69%
Baseline Tuned ML WASH -5.3 (-7.3) 152.3 (-2.3) 72%
Baseline ML WASH -5.2 (-7.2) 153.5 (-3.5) 73%
Baseline Plus ML WASH -5.2 (-7.2) 154.6 (-4.6) 72%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 ORE 8579 WASH
Jan 25, 2026 WASH 7257 ORE
Mar 9, 2025 ORE 8073 WASH
Jan 22, 2025 ORE 8271 WASH
Feb 9, 2024 ORE 8580 WASH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WASH ORE
Overall 17-15 24-12
Conference 9-11 12-8
Home 10-6 13-3
Away 5-6 6-5
Neutral 2-3 5-4
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 80.6 75.6
Avg Pts Against 77.1 72.3
Massey 11.3 (#43) 7.7 (#68)
Bradley-Terry 1.64 (#60) 1.42 (#70)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.20 (#56) 1.80 (#70)
RPI 0.593 (#42) 0.586 (#46)
Shooting & Four Factors WASH ORE
FG% 46.5% 46.4%
3PT% 34.2% 35.2%
REB / G 38.6 36.1
OREB / G 11.0 10.3
AST / TO 1.33 1.25
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.2% 52.9%
TOV% 16.2% 15.7%
ORB% 30.4% 29.5%
FT Rate 24.5% 26.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.9% 49.3%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 19.8%
DRB% 68.6% 72.8%
Opp FT Rate 23.4% 24.1%

Game Analysis

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