Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | ORE -1000 WASH +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +11 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -13.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -12.6 (-1.6) | 148.2 (+4.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -11.3 (-0.3) | 147.3 (+5.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -11.5 (-0.5) | 146.2 (+6.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -11.3 (-0.3) | 145.9 (+7.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ORE 85 – 79 WASH |
| Jan 25, 2026 | WASH 72 – 57 ORE |
| Mar 9, 2025 | ORE 80 – 73 WASH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | ORE 85 – 80 WASH |
| Jan 5, 2024 | ORE 76 – 74 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 4-16 |
| Home | 12-4 | 9-9 |
| Away | 7-4 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 14.9 (#28) | 4.9 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.42 (#13) | 1.05 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.01 (#20) | 1.49 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.647 (#11) | 0.539 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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