Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | ORE +100 WASH -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +6 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -2.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (+21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -2.1 (+8.1) | 139.7 (+24.3) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -0.9 (+6.9) | 139.6 (+24.4) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -1.2 (+7.2) | 137.5 (+26.5) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -1.2 (+7.2) | 138.4 (+25.6) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | WASH 72 – 57 ORE |
| Mar 9, 2025 | ORE 80 – 73 WASH |
| Jan 22, 2025 | ORE 82 – 71 WASH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | ORE 85 – 80 WASH |
| Jan 5, 2024 | ORE 76 – 74 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-7 | 10-6 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#93) | 11.6 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#101) | 1.36 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#100) | 2.00 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#161) | 0.527 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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