Lord Lucan is missing. "Lord Lucan is Missing" - The Dodgems
Washington Huskies
73 – 80 OT
FINAL Conference
Oregon Ducks
Big Ten Conference · Alaska Airlines Arena · March 9, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread ORE -7.5 Home covered
O/U 147.5 Over
Money WASH +280 / ORE -360
Model Predictions
Spread Total WASH win
Actual ORE +7 153 Lost
Massey ORE -7.3 (+0.3) — —
Massey Totals — 147.8 (+5.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 18% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 17% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ORE -7.2 (+0.2) 148.9 (+4.1) 22% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ORE -6.2 (-0.8) 148.0 (+5.0) 23% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ORE -6.9 (-0.1) 147.8 (+5.2) 23% ✓
Baseline ML ORE -6.9 (-0.1) 149.3 (+3.7) 25% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 ORE 85 – 79 WASH
Jan 25, 2026 WASH 72 – 57 ORE
Jan 22, 2025 ORE 82 – 71 WASH
Feb 9, 2024 ORE 85 – 80 WASH
Jan 5, 2024 ORE 76 – 74 WASH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WASH ORE
Overall 13-18 25-10
Conference 4-16 12-8
Home 9-9 12-4
Away 2-9 7-4
Neutral 2-0 6-2
Last 5 0-5 5-0
Streak L6 L1
Avg Pts For 71.4 76.5
Avg Pts Against 75.9 70.9
Massey 3.6 (#108) 14.1 (#34)
Bradley-Terry 0.86 (#101) 2.92 (#16)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.17 (#93) 3.44 (#26)
RPI 0.509 (#163) 0.621 (#15)
Shooting & Four Factors WASH ORE
FG% 44.6% 45.4%
3PT% 34.6% 34.4%
REB / G 32.7 35.6
OREB / G 9.6 10.5
AST / TO 1.05 1.33
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.8% 52.1%
TOV% 17.8% 16.0%
ORB% 27.8% 31.1%
FT Rate 23.6% 25.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.0% 49.5%
Opp TOV% 16.7% 17.9%
DRB% 71.8% 70.5%
Opp FT Rate 26.9% 19.8%

Game Analysis

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