Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | WASH +280 ORE -360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +7 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -7.3 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -6.2 (-0.8) | 148.0 (+5.0) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -6.9 (-0.1) | 147.8 (+5.2) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -6.9 (-0.1) | 149.3 (+3.7) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -7.2 (+0.2) | 148.9 (+4.1) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ORE 85 – 79 WASH |
| Jan 25, 2026 | WASH 72 – 57 ORE |
| Jan 22, 2025 | ORE 82 – 71 WASH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | ORE 85 – 80 WASH |
| Jan 5, 2024 | ORE 76 – 74 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-9 | 12-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#108) | 14.1 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#101) | 2.92 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#93) | 3.44 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#163) | 0.621 (#15) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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