Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | ORE -350 WASH +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +5 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -3.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.5 (+3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -4.0 (+1.0) | 159.2 (+5.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -4.3 (+0.7) | 157.2 (+7.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -4.2 (+0.8) | 158.4 (+6.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -3.8 (+1.2) | 158.4 (+6.6) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ORE 85 – 79 WASH |
| Jan 25, 2026 | WASH 72 – 57 ORE |
| Mar 9, 2025 | ORE 80 – 73 WASH |
| Jan 22, 2025 | ORE 82 – 71 WASH |
| Jan 5, 2024 | ORE 76 – 74 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 80.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#62) | 9.5 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#62) | 1.15 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#64) | 1.51 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#46) | 0.551 (#96) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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