Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | GONZ -1650 SF +950 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +2 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -24.6 (-22.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -21.3 (-19.3) | 147.9 (-13.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -16.5 (-14.5) | 146.5 (-12.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -18.5 (-16.5) | 147.8 (-13.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -21.0 (-19.0) | 147.5 (-13.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | GONZ 80 – 59 SF |
| Mar 11, 2025 | GONZ 85 – 76 SF |
| Mar 2, 2025 | GONZ 95 – 75 SF |
| Feb 14, 2025 | GONZ 88 – 77 SF |
| Mar 12, 2024 | GONZ 89 – 77 SF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-0 | 10-6 |
| Away | 8-2 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.3 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 25.0 (#4) | 3.7 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.29 (#6) | 0.67 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.51 (#8) | 1.08 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#19) | 0.519 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.0% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 42.9 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.80 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.4% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 37.3% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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