Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | WSU -750 PEPP +525 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +16 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -11.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (+30.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -10.0 (+6.0) | 140.2 (+33.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -8.5 (+7.5) | 140.6 (+33.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -8.9 (+7.1) | 141.2 (+32.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -9.2 (+6.8) | 140.1 (+33.9) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | PEPP 88 – 79 WSU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | WSU 90 – 83 PEPP |
| Feb 8, 2025 | WSU 87 – 86 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-6 | 7-10 |
| Away | 2-11 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 79.7 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#145) | -6.5 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#182) | -1.32 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#161) | -1.47 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#188) | 0.430 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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