Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
West Coast Conference · Firestone Fieldhouse · March 2, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WSU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 160.5 Over
Money PEPP +150 / WSU -175
Model Predictions
Spread Total PEPP win
Actual WSU +7 173 Lost
Massey WSU -4.6 (-2.4)
Massey Totals 159.0 (+14.0)
Bradley-Terry 17%
Weighted B-T 12%
Efficiency Plus ML WSU -4.6 (-2.4) 154.7 (+18.3) 32%
Baseline Tuned ML WSU -4.2 (-2.8) 158.1 (+14.9) 30%
Baseline ML WSU -4.1 (-2.9) 157.9 (+15.1) 34%
Baseline Plus ML WSU -3.2 (-3.8) 157.6 (+15.4) 37%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 1, 2026 PEPP 8879 WSU
Jan 24, 2026 WSU 9579 PEPP
Feb 8, 2025 WSU 8786 PEPP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings PEPP WSU
Overall 13-22 19-15
Conference 4-14 8-10
Home 7-9 10-4
Away 2-11 5-7
Neutral 4-2 4-4
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 71.8 78.9
Avg Pts Against 77.2 78.6
Massey -4.6 (#243) 3.2 (#114)
Bradley-Terry -1.33 (#296) 0.80 (#108)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.41 (#273) 1.23 (#89)
RPI 0.439 (#299) 0.525 (#128)
Shooting & Four Factors PEPP WSU
FG% 43.4% 49.1%
3PT% 33.6% 36.1%
REB / G 34.7 33.8
OREB / G 9.8 9.8
AST / TO 1.32 1.08
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.1% 56.6%
TOV% 16.6% 21.0%
ORB% 27.6% 31.6%
FT Rate 22.4% 23.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.5% 51.6%
Opp TOV% 15.3% 17.1%
DRB% 70.7% 67.3%
Opp FT Rate 20.7% 22.7%

Game Analysis

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