Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | PEPP +280 WSU -355 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PEPP +9 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -6.9 (+15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (+12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -6.6 (+15.6) | 147.7 (+19.3) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -4.8 (+13.8) | 150.0 (+17.0) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -5.1 (+14.1) | 151.6 (+15.4) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -5.3 (+14.3) | 149.9 (+17.1) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | WSU 95 – 79 PEPP |
| Mar 2, 2025 | WSU 90 – 83 PEPP |
| Feb 8, 2025 | WSU 87 – 86 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-10 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-11 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#276) | 3.0 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#291) | -0.05 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#278) | 0.31 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#320) | 0.483 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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