Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | JAX -130 EKU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JAX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +5 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | JAX -0.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -0.3 (+4.7) | 138.9 (+18.1) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JAX -0.5 (+4.5) | 141.9 (+15.1) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -0.7 (+4.3) | 138.2 (+18.8) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -0.8 (+4.2) | 140.7 (+16.3) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2025 | JAX 78 – 67 EKU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | JAX 59 – 55 EKU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | JAX 82 – 75 EKU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | JAX 67 – 65 EKU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | EKU 75 – 59 JAX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JAX | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-14 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 83.1 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#296) | -6.1 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#287) | -1.29 (#284) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#287) | -1.67 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#264) | 0.454 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JAX | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.