Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | JAX -150 EKU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JAX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +4 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | JAX -3.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-35.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JAX -2.3 (+1.7) | 146.4 (-32.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -1.8 (+2.2) | 147.2 (-33.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -1.8 (+2.2) | 149.4 (-35.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -1.7 (+2.3) | 148.4 (-34.4) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | JAX 81 – 76 EKU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | JAX 78 – 67 EKU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | JAX 82 – 75 EKU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | JAX 67 – 65 EKU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | EKU 75 – 59 JAX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JAX | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-9 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#186) | -1.4 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#182) | -0.19 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#164) | -0.04 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#165) | 0.502 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JAX | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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