Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | EKU -450 JAX +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +2 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | EKU -7.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -5.8 (-7.8) | 145.2 (-13.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -6.3 (-8.3) | 145.7 (-13.7) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -5.6 (-7.6) | 144.5 (-12.5) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -5.4 (-7.4) | 145.2 (-13.2) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | JAX 81 – 76 EKU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | JAX 78 – 67 EKU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | JAX 59 – 55 EKU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | JAX 82 – 75 EKU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | EKU 75 – 59 JAX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 5-11 |
| Home | 13-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#221) | -7.8 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#204) | -0.89 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#215) | -1.05 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#173) | 0.457 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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